How Spain’s economic system turned the envy of Europe

It is a chilly mid-winter afternoon in Segovia, in central Spain, and vacationers are gathered on the foot of town’s Roman aqueduct, gazing up at its well-known arches and taking selfies.

Lots of the guests are Spanish, however there are additionally individuals from different European international locations, Asians and Latin Individuals, all drawn by Segovia’s historic attraction, gastronomy and dramatic location simply past the mountains north of Madrid.

“There was a second throughout Covid after I thought ‘perhaps tourism won’t ever, ever be prefer it was earlier than’,” says Elena Mirón, an area information wearing a fuchsia-coloured beret who’s about to steer a bunch throughout town.

“However now issues are superb and I really feel this 12 months goes to be 12 months, like 2023 and 2024. I am pleased, as a result of I can stay off this job I really like.”

Spain acquired a file 94 million guests in 2024 and is now vying with France, which noticed 100 million, to be the world’s greatest overseas vacationer hub.

And the tourism trade’s post-Covid enlargement is a significant motive why the eurozone’s fourth-biggest economic system has been simply outgrowing the likes of Germany, France, Italy and the UK, posting a rise in GDP of 3.2% last year.

In contrast, the German economic system contracted by 0.2% in 2024, whereas France grew by 1.1%, Italy by 0.5%, and the UK by an expected 0.9%.

This all helps clarify why the Economist journal has ranked Spain because the world’s best-performing economy.

“The Spanish mannequin is profitable as a result of it’s a balanced mannequin, and that is what ensures the sustainability of progress,” says Carlos Cuerpo, the enterprise minister within the Socialist-led coalition authorities. He factors out that Spain was chargeable for 40% of eurozone progress final 12 months.

Though he underlined the significance of tourism, Mr Cuerpo additionally pointed to monetary companies, expertise, and funding as components which have helped Spain bounce again from the depths of the pandemic, when GDP shrank by 11% in a single 12 months.

“We’re getting out of Covid with out scars and by modernising our economic system and subsequently lifting our potential GDP progress,” he provides.

That modernisation course of is being aided by post-pandemic restoration funds from the EU’s Subsequent Technology programme. Spain is because of obtain as much as €163bn by 2026 ($169bn; £136bn), making it the most important recipient of those funds alongside Italy.

Spain is investing the cash within the nationwide rail system, low-emissions zones in cities and cities, in addition to within the electrical car trade and subsidies for small companies.

“Public spending has been excessive, and is chargeable for roughly half our progress because the pandemic,” says María Jesús Valdemoros, lecturer in economics at Spain’s IESE Enterprise Faculty.

Different main European economies have seen their progress stymied by their larger reliance than Spain on trade, which, she says, “is struggling quite a bit for the time being because of components such because the excessive price of vitality, competitors from China and different Asian international locations, the price of the transition to a extra sustainable environmental mannequin and commerce protectionism”.

Since Covid, the opposite main financial problem for Spain has been the cost-of-living disaster triggered by supply-chain bottlenecks and the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Inflation peaked at an annual price of 11% in July of that 12 months, with vitality costs hitting Spaniards notably onerous, however by the top of 2024 it had fallen back to 2.8%.

Madrid believes that subsidies it launched to chop the price of gas consumption and encourage public transport use had been key in mitigating the affect of the vitality value rises, in addition to a number of will increase to the minimal wage.

On the peak of the European vitality disaster, Spain and Portugal additionally negotiated with Brussels a so-called “Iberian exception”, permitting them to cap the worth of gasoline used to generate electrical energy to be able to scale back customers’ payments.

Mr Cuerpo argues that such measures have helped counter Spain’s conventional vulnerability to financial turmoil.

“Spain is proving to be extra resilient to successive shocks – together with the inflation shock that got here with the conflict in Ukraine,” he mentioned. “And I believe that is a part of the general protecting protect that we’ve put in place for our customers and for our corporations.”

The nation’s inexperienced vitality output is seen as one other beneficial issue, not simply in guaranteeing electrical energy, but in addition spurring funding. Spain has the second-largest renewable vitality infrastructure within the EU.

The latter is a boon for a rustic that’s Europe’s second-biggest automobile producer, based on Wayne Griffiths, the British-born CEO of Seat and Cupra. Though Spanish electrical car manufacturing is lagging behind the remainder of Europe, he sees monumental potential in that space.

“[In Spain] we’ve all of the components it is advisable to achieve success: aggressive, well-trained individuals and likewise an vitality coverage behind that,” he says. “There is no level in making zero-emission automobiles in the event you’re utilizing soiled vitality.”

Regardless of these positives, a longstanding weak spot of Spain’s economic system has been a chronically excessive jobless price, which is the most important within the EU and nearly double the block’s common. Nevertheless, the state of affairs did enhance within the final quarter of 2024, when the Spanish jobless unemployment price declined to 10.6%, its lowest level since 2008.

In the meantime the variety of individuals in employment in Spain now stands at 22 million, a file excessive. A labour reform, encouraging job stability, is seen as a key motive for this.

This reform elevated restrictions on using short-term contracts by corporations, favouring larger flexibility in using everlasting contracts. It has decreased the variety of staff in short-term employment with out hindering job creation.

Additionally, though the arrival of immigrants has pushed a fierce political debate, their absorption into the labour market is seen by many as crucial for a rustic with a quickly ageing inhabitants.

The Socialist prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, has been outspoken in underlining the necessity for immigrants, describing their contribution to the economic system as “basic”.

The European Fee has forecast that Spain will proceed to steer progress among the many bloc’s large economies this 12 months and stay forward of the EU common. Nevertheless, challenges are looming on the horizon.

The heavy reliance on tourism – and a growing backlash in opposition to the trade by native individuals – is one concern.

One other is Spain’s huge public debt, which is higher than the nation’s annual financial output.

María Jesús Valdemoros warns that that is “an imbalance that we have to right, not simply because the EU’s new fiscal norms demand it, however as a result of it might trigger monetary instability”.

As well as, a housing disaster has erupted throughout the nation, leaving tens of millions of Spaniards struggling to search out inexpensive lodging.

With an unsure and deeply polarised political panorama, it’s tough for Sánchez’s minority authorities to sort out such issues. However, whereas it makes an attempt to resolve these conundrums, Spain is having fun with its standing because the motor of European progress.