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Probability is the guide of life, and of death, too.
-Peter Singer
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Probability Is The Guide Of Life, And

Peter Singer
Probability is the guide of life, and of death, too.
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Guides Probability

More From Peter Singer

Someone's killed 100,000 people. we're almost going, "well done! you killed 100,000 people? you must get up very early in the morning! i can't even get down the gym. your diary must look odd: 'get up in the morning, death, death, death, death, death, death, death - lunch - death, death, death - afternoon tea - death, death, death - quick shower ...' "
Funny Morning Lunch
It has been pointed out already that no knowledge of probabilities, less in degree than certainty, helps us to know what conclusions are true, and that there is no direct relation between the truth of a proposition and its probability. probability begins and ends with probability.
Truth Math Degrees
Take for example providing a guide dog for a blind person. that's a good thing to do, right? all right. it is a good thing to do. but you have to think what else you could do with the resources. it costs about $40,000 to train a guide dog and train the recipient so that the guide dog can be an effective help to a blind person. it costs somewhere between 20 and $50 to cure a blind person in a developing country if they have trachoma. so you do the sums, and you could provide one guide dog for one blind american or you could cure between 400 and 2,000 people of blindness.
Country Dog Thinking
Life rises out of death, death rises out of life; in being opposite they yearn to each other, they give birth to each other and are forever reborn. and with them, all is reborn, the flower of the apple tree, the light of the stars. in life is death. in death is rebirth. what then is life without death? life unchanging, everlasting, eternal?-what is it but death-death without rebirth?
Stars Flower Light
By 'coming to terms with life' i mean: the reality of death has become a definite part of my life; my life has, so to speak, been extended by death, by my looking death in the eye and accepting it, by accepting destruction as part of life and no longer wasting my energies on fear of death or the refusal to acknowledge its inevitability. it sounds paradoxical: by excluding death from our life we cannot live a full life, and by admitting death into our life we enlarge and enrich it.
Mean Eye Reality
The issue, as correctly emphasized by carl sagan, is the probability of the evolution of high intelligence and an electronic civilization on an inhabited world. once we have life (and almost surely it will be very different from life on earth), what is the probability of its developing a lineage with high intelligence? on earth, among millions of lineages of organisms and perhaps 50 billion speciation events, only one led to high intelligence; this makes me believe in its utter improbability.
Believe Civilization Issues
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I've had plenty of good times and have settled peacefully into quite a boring existence that i love. i had enough fireworks and chaos. it is a blissful boring life, believe me.
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