Kamala Harris: After her bruising election loss, what next?

Precisely two months after her election loss to Donald Trump, Vice-President Kamala Harris will preside over the certification of her personal defeat.

As president of the Senate, on Monday she is going to stand on the Home Speaker’s rostrum to guide the counting of Electoral Faculty votes, formally cementing her rival’s triumph two weeks earlier than he returns to the White Home.

The circumstances are painful and awkward for a candidate who decried her opponent as an pressing menace to American democracy, however Harris aides insist she is going to conduct her constitutional and authorized obligation with seriousness and charm.

It’s not the primary time a dropping candidate will lead the joint session of Congress to depend their opponent’s presidential electors – Al Gore endured the indignity in 2001 and Richard Nixon in 1961.

But it surely’s a becoming coda to an unbelievable election that noticed Harris elevated from a back-up to the nation’s oldest president to the Democratic commonplace bearer – whose fleeting marketing campaign supplied a jolt of hope to her occasion earlier than a crushing loss uncovered deep inside faultlines.

Harris and her workforce are actually deliberating her second act, and weighing whether or not it consists of one other run for the White Home in 2028 or pursuing a bid for the governor’s mansion in her house state of California.

Whereas latest Democratic candidates who misplaced elections – Al Gore, John Kerry, Hillary Clinton – have determined in opposition to in search of the presidency once more, aides, allies and donors argue that the groundswell of help Harris captured in her unsuccessful bid and the weird circumstances of her condensed marketing campaign proves there’s nonetheless scope for her to hunt the Oval Workplace.

They even level to Donald Trump’s personal circuitous political path – the previous and future president’s bookend wins in 2016 and 2024, regardless of dropping because the incumbent in 2020.

However whereas many Democrats don’t blame Harris for Trump’s win, some – stung by a bruising loss that has referred to as the occasion’s technique into query – are deeply sceptical of giving her one other shot on the White Home. A number of Democratic governors who coalesced behind the vice-president in 2024 however have ambitions of their very own are seen by some strategists as more energizing candidates with a significantly better probability of profitable.

Harris herself is alleged to be in no rush to make any selections, telling advisers and supporters she is open to all the probabilities that await her after Inauguration Day on 20 January.

She is assessing the previous few months, which noticed her launch a completely new White Home marketing campaign, vet a running-mate, lead a celebration conference and barnstorm the nation in simply 107 days. And aides level out that she stays the US vice-president, at the least for one more two weeks.

“She has a choice to make and you may’t make it while you’re nonetheless on the treadmill. It could have slowed down – however she’s on the treadmill till 20 January,” stated Donna Brazile, an in depth Harris ally who suggested the marketing campaign.

“You may’t put anybody in a field. We did not put Al Gore in a field and it was apparent the nation was very divided after the 2000 election,” stated Brazile, who ran Gore’s marketing campaign in opposition to George W Bush and pointed to his second life as an environmental activist. “All choices are on the desk as a result of there’s an urge for food for change and I do consider that she will be able to signify that change sooner or later.”

However the nagging query that shadows any potential 2028 run is whether or not the 60-year-old can separate herself from Joe Biden – one thing she did not do within the election marketing campaign.

Her allies within the occasion say that Biden’s alternative to hunt re-election regardless of worries about his age, solely then to finally drop out of the race with months to go, doomed her candidacy.

Although Trump swept all seven battleground states and is the primary Republican in 20 years to win the favored vote, his margin of victory was comparatively slender whereas Harris nonetheless received 75 million votes, an final result her supporters argue cannot be ignored as a at present faceless Democratic occasion rebuilds over the following 4 years.

On the opposite facet, these near Biden stay satisfied he might have defeated Trump once more, regardless of surveys displaying he had been bleeding help from key Democratic voting blocs.

They level out that Harris fell quick the place the president did not in 2020, underperforming with core Democratic teams like black and Latino voters. Critics proceed to convey up her 2019 marketing campaign to turn into the Democratic presidential nominee, which sputtered out in lower than a 12 months.

“Folks overlook that had there been an actual main [in 2024], she by no means would have been the nominee. Everybody is aware of that,” stated one former Biden adviser.

The adviser, who spoke on situation of anonymity to debate a delicate matter, applauded Harris for reviving the Democratic base and serving to key congressional races, however stated Trump’s marketing campaign efficiently undercut her on important marketing campaign points together with the economic system and the border.

Members of Trump’s workforce, nonetheless, together with his chief pollster, have acknowledged that Harris carried out stronger as a candidate than Biden on sure points just like the economic system amongst voters.

But there isn’t any escaping that any Democratic main contest for 2028 could be a tricky battle, with rising stars like Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, Illinois Governor JB Pritzker and California Governor Gavin Newsom already weighing presidential runs.

Some Democrats say that Harris would nonetheless begin forward of the pack, with nationwide title recognition, a much-coveted mailing listing and a deep bench of volunteers.

“What state occasion wouldn’t need her to return assist them set the desk for the 2026 midterm elections?” Brazile stated. “She’s going to have a lot alternatives not solely to rebuild, however to strengthen the coalition that got here collectively to help her in 2024.”

Others have recommended she might step out of the political enviornment completely, operating a basis or establishing an institute of politics at her alma mater, Howard College, the Washington-based traditionally black school the place she held her election evening occasion.

The previous high state prosecutor may be a contender for secretary of state or lawyer common in a future Democratic administration. And he or she’ll must resolve if she desires to jot down one other e book.

For all of her choices, Harris has advised aides, she desires to stay seen and be seen as a frontrunner within the occasion. One adviser recommended that she might exist outdoors the home political fray, taking up a extra world position on a difficulty that issues to her, however that is a troublesome perch with no platform as giant because the vice-presidency.

Within the waning days of the Biden-Harris administration, she plans to embark on a world journey to a number of areas, based on a supply aware of the plans, signalling her need to keep up a task on the world stage and construct a legacy past being Biden’s quantity two.

For Harris and her workforce, the weeks because the election have been humbling, a mixture of grief and resolve. A number of aides described the three-month dash that started when Biden dropped out as having begun with the marketing campaign “digging out of a gap” and ending with their candidate extra widespread than when she started, even when she did not win.

“There is a sense of peace figuring out that given the hand we have been dealt, we ran by the tape,” stated one senior aide.

Following the election, Harris and her husband, Second Gentleman Doug Emhoff, spent per week in Hawaii with a small group of aides to calm down and focus on her future.

Throughout a workers vacation occasion at her official residence earlier than Christmas, Harris recounted election evening and the way she delivered a pep speak to her household because the outcomes turned clear.

“We aren’t having a pity occasion!” she advised the gang of her response that evening.

Advisers and allies say she continues to be processing what occurred, and needs to attend and see how the brand new administration unfolds in January earlier than staking out any place, not to mention in search of to turn into the face of any so-called Trump “resistance”.

Democrats have discovered the resistance motion that took off amongst liberals within the wake of his 2016 win not resonates in right this moment’s political local weather, the place the Republican has confirmed that his message and magnificence appeals to an enormous cross-section of Individuals.

They’ve adopted a extra conciliatory method in confronting the incoming president’s agenda. As a number of Democrats put it: “What resistance?”

Although she’s stored a comparatively low profile since her loss, Harris supplied a glimpse of her mindset at an occasion for college students at Prince George’s Group Faculty in Maryland in December.

“The actions for civil rights, girls’s rights, staff’ rights, the USA of America itself, would by no means have come to be if individuals had given up their trigger after a courtroom case, or a battle, or an election didn’t go their means,” she stated.

“We should keep within the battle,” she added, a chorus she has repeated since her 2016 Senate win. “Everybody of us.”

What meaning is much less clear. For some donors and supporters, staying “within the battle” might translate to a run for California governor in 2026, when a term-limited Gavin Newsom will step down and probably pursue his personal White Home ambitions. The job, main the world’s fifth-largest economic system, would additionally put Harris in direct battle with Trump, who has recurrently assailed the state for its left-leaning insurance policies.

However governing a significant state is not any small feat, and would derail any presidential run, as she could be sworn into workplace about the identical time she would wish to launch a nationwide marketing campaign.

Those that have spoken to Harris stated she stays undecided concerning the governor’s race, which some allies have described as a possible “capstone” to her profession.

She has received statewide workplace 3 times as California’s lawyer common and later as a US senator. However a gubernatorial win would give her one other historic honour – changing into the nation’s first black feminine governor.

Nonetheless, some allies acknowledge it will be troublesome to transition from being inside a 20-car motorcade and having a seat throughout the desk from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to the governor’s mansion.

The non-public sector is another choice.

“For ladies at different ranges of workplace, after they lose an election, typically choices are usually not as obtainable to them in comparison with males, who get a tender touchdown at a regulation agency or insurance coverage enterprise, and it offers them a spot to take a beat, make some cash after which make selections about what’s subsequent,” stated Debbie Walsh, director for the Heart for American Girls and Politics at Rutgers College.

“I do not assume that is going to be an issue for Kamala Harris. I believe doorways will open for her if she desires to open them.”

However for Harris, who has been in elected workplace for 20 years, and labored as a public prosecutor earlier than that, an afterlife as governor would be the most becoming choice.

“Whenever you’ve had one consumer – the individuals – for the whole lot of your profession,” stated one former adviser, “the place do you go from right here?”