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Sometimes the probabilities are very close to certainties, but they're never really certainties
-Murray Gell-Mann
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Sometimes The Probabilities Are Very Close To

Murray Gell-Mann
Sometimes the probabilities are very close to certainties, but they're never really certainties
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Sometimes Certainty Probability

More From Murray Gell-Mann

...we should all fortify ourselves against the dark hours of depression by cultivating a deep distrust of the certainties of despair. despair is relentless in the certainties of its pessimism. but we have seen again and again, from our own experience and others', that absolute statements of hopelessness that we make in the dark are notoriously unreliable. our dark certainties are not sureties.
Dark Despair Pessimism
At the end of the day, when it comes down to it, all we really want is to be close to somebody. so this thing where we all keep our distance and pretend not to care about each other, it's usually a load of bull. so we pick and choose who we want to remain close to, and once we've chosen those people, we tend to stick close by. no matter how much we hurt them. the people that are still with you at the end of the day, those are the ones worth keeping. and sure, sometimes close can be too close. but sometimes, that invasion of personal space, it can be exactly what you need.
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People get sick and sometimes they get better and sometimes they don't. and it doesn't matter if the sickness is cancer or if it's depression. sometimes the drugs work and sometimes they don't. sometimes the drugs work for a while and then they stop. sometimes the alternative stuff works and sometimes it doesn't. and sometimes you wonder if no outside interference makes any difference at all; if an illness is like a storm, if it simply has to run its course and, at the end of it, depending on how robust you are, you will be alive. or you will be dead.
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All business proceeds on beliefs, or judgments of probabilities, and not on certainties.
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So the journey is over and i am back again where i started, richer by much experience and poorer by many unexploded certainties. for convictions and certainties are too often the concomitants of ignorance. those who like to feel they are always right and who attached a high importance to their own opinions should stay at home. when one is traveling, convictions are mislaid as easily as spectacles; but unlike spectacles, they are not easily replaced.
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The church's challenge is staying close to the people, close to the people of the united states, not being a detached church from the people but close to them, close, close, and this is something that the church in the united states has understood and understood well.
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